The latest forecast track of Cindy brings the storm right across the ArkLaTex as a tropical depression late Thursday. The remnants of the storm continued to move to the northwest at about 22 miles per hour, with sustained winds tied to squalls near the storm's center blowing at about 40 miles per hour.
The third named tropical storm of the hurricane season, and the closest tropical threat to Southwest Florida, is churning away from Florida toward the southwest coast of Louisiana.
A state of emergency was declared Tuesday by Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey as the state prepared for impacts from the tropical storm. Tropical Storm Cindy is expected to move from the Gulf of Mexico into the Arkalatex and then make its way through the Tennessee Valley Region. Cindy joins Tropical Storm Bret, which formed a day earlier in the Caribbean.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami says the storm is centered about 265 miles (430 kilometers) south of Morgan City, Louisiana - or about 355 miles (565 kilometers) southeast of Galveston, Texas. We will still have a lot of cloud cover into Wednesday morning and breezy winds, but the effects from Cindy will definitely lessen by Wednesday night.
Crude oil prices for physical delivery along the U.S. Gulf Coast were relatively stable on early June 20, but cash gasoline prices rose as traders expected refineries along the Gulf Coast to get hit with heavy rains, which may result in flooding.
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Our best chance for heavy rain is Friday night into Saturday as the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy move nearly directly over us.
Already some flooding was reported on Alabama's Dauphin Island and flood control locks and gates were being closed along Louisiana's bayou-marbled coast.
The seasonal Outlook calls for a 70 percent likelihood that 11-17 named storms will form this year with five-nine strengthening into hurricanes and two-four strengthening into a major hurricane. This will mean increased tropical moisture, gusty winds, and potential for heavy rains for coastal areas.
Winds are not expected to gain speed as the storm encounters wind shear, but flooding poses a far bigger threat, with heavy rain extending far north and east of the storm's center.
Seas over much of the Gulf of Mexico may remain too rough for small craft through at least Thursday.
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