Fed Raises Key Interest Rate For 4th Time Since 2015

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2017 inflation is now expected to be 1.6%, short of the Fed's 2% target, and 30 basis points less than the 1.9% inflation rate projected in the committee's March 2017 statement. The Fed's favourite price gauge was 1.7 per cent higher in April than a year ago, down from 1.9 per cent in March and 2.1 per cent in February. This persistence in expected hikes caused Dollars strength to emerge as Yellen noted that the Fed continues to see conditions favorable in place for inflation to rise.

In lifting its benchmark lending rate by a quarter percentage point to a target range of 1.00 percent to 1.25 percent and forecasting one more hike this year, the Fed seemed to largely brush off a recent run of mixed economic data. Ahead of the Fed statement, the United States dollar had dropped after figures showed the biggest decline in retail sales in 16 months last month, while consumer prices unexpectedly fell.

It forecast United States economic growth of 2.2% for 2017 - an increase on its last estimate - but said it would be watching inflation carefully as its main measure was now expected to come in lower than expected at 1.6%. It also announced it would begin cutting its holdings of bonds and other securities this year. The Committee now expects to begin implementing a balance sheet normalization program this year, provided that the economy evolves broadly as anticipated. "This program. would gradually reduce the Federal Reserve's securities holdings", it said. It foresees one additional rate hike this year, unchanged from its previous forecast.

While the Fed later stood by its conviction that the recent softening in inflation was not a long-term threat, long- and medium-dated yields remained not far from their lowest levels since November hit after the weak inflation data. While the base case can be for another rate hike this year, it's not unthinkable that they could just pause until September or even December to get the "coast is clear" signal on inflation.

The Fed has $4.2tn of U.S. treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities on its balance sheet. Even so, numerous barometers the Fed monitors most closely have given it the confidence to keep gradually lifting still-low borrowing rates toward their historic norms.

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NEW YORK, June 14 Long-dated U.S. Treasury yields tumbled to their lowest since early November on Wednesday after surprisingly weak data on inflation and retail sales overshadowed an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve.

Mortgages and auto loans are not directly affected by the actions of the Fed, but historically speaking, they tend to rise after the Fed raises rates.

Most analysts believe that the Fed will try to roll off about $2 trillion to $2.5 trillion from the current level of $4.5 trillion, a process that is expected to take several years. The rate sets what banks can charge each other for overnight loans and influences the availability and flow of money in the US economy.

Germany's DAX index is up 0.4 percent and Britain's FTSE 100 0.1 percent. Brent crude settled 3.5 percent lower at $47 a barrel and USA crude tumbled 3.7 percent to settle at $44.73.

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